For Heads-of · Practitioner

Emergent Capabilities

Abilities that appear in larger AI models but were not explicitly trained for and were not evident in smaller versions. Whether they genuinely arrive suddenly with scale, or only look sudden because of how they are measured, is disputed.

  • emergent capabilities
  • scaling
  • evaluation
  • model behaviour

Examples

In-context learning (learning a task from examples in the prompt without further training), multi-step reasoning, and translation between languages rarely paired in the training data.

A disputed claim

Early research reported abilities appearing abruptly once models crossed a scale threshold. Later work (Schaeffer, Miranda and Koyejo, 2023) showed that many of these jumps disappear when performance is measured on a continuous scale rather than as pass or fail, suggesting the ability improved gradually and the metric made it look sudden. Both sides agree that a larger model can do things its predecessor visibly could not.

Why it matters for governance

Whether emergence is real or an artefact of measurement, the practical point holds: a new model version may have capabilities, and failure modes, that testing of the previous version did not reveal. Every model upgrade, including a vendor's silent one, needs its own evaluation rather than inheriting the last one's results; skipping it leaves untested AI failure scenarios.

Sources

Related Terms

Related risks and controls

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